Prepared by: Florida Department of Corrections Bureau of Research and Data Analysis Inmate Information and Analysis Section January 2012

December 2011 Actual Admissions Compared With CJEC Projected Admissions Actual Prison Population Compared with CJEC Projected Population Types of Admissions (New, Violators, etc.) Offender Types Admitted with Special Sentencing Provisions Details on Prison Population

Introduction

The purpose of this report is to compare the estimated prison admission and population numbers from the Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) to the actual prison admission and population numbers. Types of admissions and offenders admitted under special sentencing provisions are also described. The CJEC estimations are from the February 21, 2011 conference for forecast values January 2011 through June 2011 and the December 14, 2011 conference for forecast values July 2011 through December 2011.

CJEC Estimated Prison Admissions Versus Actual Admissions*

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The Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) admissions estimate for December 2011 overestimated the actual number of inmates admitted by 107 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated admissions and actual admissions was 4.07%.

• Total Actual Admissions since January 2011 – 33,864
• Total Estimated Admissions since January 2011 – 33,769
• Cumulative Admissions Difference – 95 (0.28%)

CJEC Estimated Prison Population Versus Actual Prison Population

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Using the average daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2011 underestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 94 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual average daily population was 0.09%.

Using the maximum daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2011 underestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 393 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual maximum daily population was 0.39%.

Using the end of month population, the modified CJEC population estimate for December 2011 underestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 33 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual end of month population was 0.03%.

Details on Admissions Numbers

Offenders Admitted with Special Sentencing Provisions

1. Offenders can be admitted with more than one special sentencing provision. Therefore, an offender can be included in more than one group.
2. These are the special provisions at admission for the current commitment and are subject to change upon audit of sentence structure.
   • 99.6% of December admissions have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.

Details on Prison Population

* Section 958.04, F.S., authorizes the court to sentence as a youthful offender any person:

• Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;
• Who is found guilty of or who has tendered, and the court has accepted, a plea of nolo contendere or guilty to a crime that is, under the laws of this state, a felony if the offender is younger than 21 years of age at the time sentence is imposed;
• Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act; and
• Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony.

Section 958.11(4), F.S., authorizes the Department to classify as a youthful offender any person:

• Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;
• Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act;
• Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony;
• Whose age does not exceed 24 years; and
• Whose total length of sentence does not exceed 10 years.

In addition to the above, s. 958.11(6), F.S., authorizes the Department to assign inmates 19 or younger (except capital or life felons) to youthful offender facilities if the Department determines that the inmates mental or physical vulnerability would substantially or materially jeopardize his or her safety in a non-youthful offender facility.

+ This number represents those inmates which have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.