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Rick Scott, Governor
Florida Department of Corrections, Secretary Julie L. Jones

Florida Department of Corrections
Julie L. Jones, Secretary

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Prepared by:
Florida Department of Corrections
Bureau of Research and Data Analysis
Inmate Information and Analysis Section
August 2015
 

July 2015

Introduction

The purpose of this report is to compare the estimated prison admission and population numbers from the Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) to the actual prison admission and population numbers. Types of admissions and offenders admitted under special sentencing provisions are also described. The CJEC estimations for the period January 2015 – December 2015 are from the conference held on February 27, 2015 (EDR) and estimations for the period July-December are from the conference held on July 28, 2015 (EDR).

CJEC Estimated Prison Admissions Versus Actual Admissions*

Link to CJEC Estimated Prison Admissions Versus Actual Admissions. July 2015; Estimate = 2,731, Actual = 2,678
*Actual Admissions include only: New Commitments, Control Release Violators and Conditional Release Violators

Click chart for larger view.

The Criminal Justice Estimating Conference (CJEC) admissions estimate for July 2015 overestimated the actual number of inmates admitted by 53 inmates. The percent difference between the CJEC estimated admissions and actual admissions was 1.98%.

  • Total Actual Admissions since January 2015 – 18,042
  • Total Estimated Admissions since January 2015 – 18,615
  • Cumulative Admissions Difference – 573 (3.18%)

CJEC Estimated Prison Population Versus Actual Prison Population

Link to CJEC Estimated Prison Population Versus Actual Prison Population. July 2015; Estimate = 100,034, Actual Average Daily Population = 99,768, Actual Maximum Daily Population = 99,979, Actual End of Month Population = 99,885
Click chart for larger view.

Using the average daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for July 2015 overestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 266 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual average daily population was 0.27%.

Using the maximum daily population, the modified CJEC population estimate for July 2015 overestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 55 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual maximum daily population was 0.06%.

Using the end-of-month population, the modified CJEC population estimate for July 2015 overestimated the actual number of inmates in the population by 149 inmates.  The percent difference between the CJEC estimated population and the actual end of month population was 0.15%.

Details on Admissions Numbers

Type of Admission Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15 Jul 15 Aug 15 Sep 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 Total

New Commitments

2,218 2,566 2,592 2,698 2,214 2,405 2,541           17,234

Violators of Control Release with New Sentences

0 0 0 0 0 0 0           0

Violators of Conditional Release with New Sentences

6 5 8 14 9 12 10           64

Violators of Control Release without New Sentences

0 0 1 0 0 0 0           1

Violators of Conditional Release without New Sentences

96 80 97 120 104 119 127           743
Total 2,320 2,651 2,698 2,832 2,327 2,536 2,678           18,042

Offenders Admitted with Special Sentencing Provisions

Type of Special Sentencing Provision1,2 Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 Jun 15 Jul 15 Aug 15 Sep 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 Total
Habitual Offenders 128 149 158 178 129 169 176           1,087
Violent Habitual Offenders 14 28 30 28 23 21 21           165
Releasee Reoffenders 41 49 65 54 45 52 39           345
Violent Career Criminals 3 2 0 2 0 1 1           9
Three Time Violent Felony Offenders 0 1 0 0 0 0 1           2
Dangerous Sexual Felony Offender 0 0 0 0 0 2 0           2
Total 186 229 253 262 197 245 238           1,610
  1. Offenders can be admitted with more than one special sentencing provision.  Therefore, an offender can be included in more than one group.
  2. These are the special provisions at admission for the current commitment and are subject to change upon audit of sentence structure.
    •  99.7% of July admissions have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.

Details on Prison Population

Total End of Month Inmate Population Total Population Males Females HIV Positive Inmates Inmates 50 Years of Age and Older Youthful Offenders* Sentenced Under 85% Law+
January 2015 100,265 93,112 (92.9%) 7,153 (7.1%) 2,806 (2.8%) 21,298 (21.2%) 2,320 (2.3%) 90,803 (90.6%)
February 2015 100,377 93,245 (92.9%) 7,132 (7.1%) 2,807 (2.8%) 21,359 (21.3%) 2,259 (2.3%) 91,065 (90.7%)
March 2015 100,324 93,245 (92.9%) 7,121 (7.1%) 2,845 (2.8%) 21,401 (21.3%) 2,263 (2.3%) 91,063 (90.8%)
April 2015 100,511 93,393 (92.9%) 7,118 (7.1%) 2,835 (2.8%) 21,477 (21.4%) 2,324 (2.3%) 91,239 (90.8%)
May 2015 100,166 93,133 (93.0%) 7,033 (7.0%) 2,831 (2.8%) 21,475 (21.4%) 2,345 (2.3%) 90,938 (90.8%)
June 2015 100,050 93,032 (93.0%) 7,018 (7.0%) 2,846 (2.8%) 21,620 (21.6%) 2,291 (2.3%) 90,907 (90.9%)
July 2015 99,885 92,925 (93.0%) 6,960 (7.0%) 2,834 (2.8%) 21,732 (21.8%) 2,297 (2.3%) 90,756 (90.9%)
August 2015              
September 2015              
October 2015              
November 2015              
December 2015              

* Section 958.04, F.S., authorizes the court to sentence as a youthful offender any person:

  • Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;
  • Who is found guilty of or who has tendered, and the court has accepted, a plea of nolo contendere or guilty to a crime that is, under the laws of this state, a felony if the offender is younger than 21 years of age at the time sentence is imposed;
  • Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act; and
  • Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony.

Section 958.11(4), F.S., authorizes the Department to classify as a youthful offender any person:

  • Who is at least 18 years of age or who has been transferred for prosecution to the criminal division of the circuit court pursuant to chapter 985;
  • Who has not previously been classified as a youthful offender under the provisions of this act;
  • Who has not been found guilty of a capital or life felony;
  • Whose age does not exceed 24 years; and
  • Whose total length of sentence does not exceed 10 years.

In addition to the above, section 958.11(6), F.S., authorizes the Department to assign inmates 19 or younger (except capital or life felons) to youthful offender facilities if the Department determines that the inmate’s mental or physical vulnerability would substantially or materially jeopardize his or her safety in a non-youthful offender facility. Section 944.1905(5)(a), F.S, mandates that the Department assign any inmate under 18 not meeting the provisions of chapter 958 to a youthful offender facility. Such inmates are assigned to youthful offender facilities until at least age 18, but may remain assigned until age 21 if the Department determines that continued assignment is in the best interests of the inmate and the assignment does not pose an unreasonable risk to other inmates in the facility.


+ This number represents those inmates which have every component of their sentence covered by the mandatory 85% minimum sentence served law.

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