
(Not Adjusted by Other Factor Effects)
| FACTOR | TIME SINCE RELEASE | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 MONTHS | 36 MONTHS | 60 MONTHS | ||||||||||
| Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | ||||
| Age at Release | UNDER 18 | 42.3% | 48.0% | 53.6% | 53.9% | 59.8% | 65.8% | 64.5% | 73.4% | 82.4% | ||
| 18 TO 24 | 31.8% | 32.5% | 33.2% | 45.1% | 45.9% | 46.8% | 53.3% | 54.3% | 55.4% | |||
| 25 TO 34 | 28.6% | 29.2% | 29.7% | 41.3% | 41.9% | 42.6% | 49.8% | 50.6% | 51.4% | |||
| 35 TO 49 | 25.2% | 25.8% | 26.3% | 36.6% | 37.4% | 38.1% | 44.1% | 45.0% | 45.9% | |||
| 50 TO 59 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 19.0% | 21.3% | 23.7% | |||
| 60+ | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | |||
| Race | Black | 32.1% | 32.5% | 33.0% | 46.2% | 46.8% | 47.3% | 55.1% | 55.8% | 56.4% | ||
| Non-Black | 21.7% | 22.1% | 22.6% | 31.1% | 31.7% | 32.3% | 37.9% | 38.7% | 39.5% | |||
| Ethnicity | Hispanic | 20.9% | 22.2% | 23.6% | 32.7% | 34.4% | 36.1% | 39.4% | 41.6% | 43.8% | ||
| Non-Hispanic | 28.2% | 28.6% | 28.9% | 40.4% | 40.9% | 41.3% | 48.5% | 49.1% | 49.6% | |||
| Supervision After Release | Yes | 24.7% | 25.3% | 25.8% | 35.7% | 36.4% | 37.0% | 42.6% | 43.4% | 44.3% | ||
| No | 29.6% | 30.0% | 30.5% | 42.5% | 43.0% | 43.5% | 51.0% | 51.6% | 52.3% | |||
| Months in Prison | 1-12 | 27.8% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 40.5% | 41.3% | 42.1% | 49.4% | 50.3% | 51.3% | ||
| 13-24 | 29.1% | 29.7% | 30.3% | 41.8% | 42.6% | 43.3% | 50.2% | 51.1% | 52.0% | |||
| 25-36 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 30.3% | 41.1% | 42.1% | 43.1% | 48.5% | 49.7% | 51.0% | |||
| 37-48 | 27.5% | 28.5% | 29.6% | 38.4% | 39.8% | 41.1% | 45.7% | 47.6% | 49.4% | |||
| 49-60 | 26.1% | 27.5% | 28.9% | 37.5% | 39.2% | 41.0% | 42.0% | 44.1% | 46.3% | |||
| 61+ | 20.9% | 21.8% | 22.7% | 29.8% | 31.0% | 32.3% | 34.9% | 36.5% | 38.1% | |||
| Disciplinary Reports -Total | NONE | 23.9% | 24.4% | 24.9% | 35.1% | 35.7% | 36.3% | 43.0% | 43.7% | 44.4% | ||
| 1 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 28.2% | 39.3% | 40.3% | 41.3% | 47.8% | 49.1% | 50.3% | |||
| 2 | 28.5% | 29.7% | 30.8% | 40.9% | 42.3% | 43.7% | 49.5% | 51.3% | 53.1% | |||
| 3-6 | 31.0% | 31.9% | 32.8% | 44.3% | 45.4% | 46.5% | 52.3% | 53.7% | 55.1% | |||
| 7+ | 35.9% | 36.9% | 37.8% | 49.4% | 50.6% | 51.7% | 56.8% | 58.3% | 59.8% | |||
| Release Custody | Low | 25.4% | 25.9% | 26.3% | 37.6% | 38.2% | 38.7% | 45.7% | 46.5% | 47.2% | ||
| High | 33.7% | 34.6% | 35.5% | 47.2% | 48.3% | 49.4% | 55.0% | 56.4% | 57.7% | |||
| TABE Grade Level - Last Before Release | 1-3.9 | 31.5% | 32.3% | 33.1% | 44.9% | 45.9% | 46.9% | 53.2% | 54.4% | 55.6% | ||
| 4-8.9 | 29.1% | 29.6% | 30.0% | 41.8% | 42.4% | 42.9% | 50.2% | 50.9% | 51.7% | |||
| 9-11.9 | 24.5% | 25.3% | 26.1% | 35.7% | 36.7% | 37.7% | 42.3% | 43.6% | 44.9% | |||
| 12-12.9 | 20.2% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 29.3% | 30.4% | 31.4% | 36.1% | 37.5% | 38.8% | |||
| Prior Recidivism Events | NONE | 22.4% | 22.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% | 33.4% | 34.0% | 40.3% | 41.0% | 41.7% | ||
| 1 | 27.4% | 28.2% | 28.9% | 40.4% | 41.3% | 42.1% | 48.7% | 49.8% | 50.9% | |||
| 2 | 33.5% | 34.5% | 35.5% | 47.0% | 48.2% | 49.4% | 56.3% | 57.8% | 59.2% | |||
| 3 | 37.3% | 38.6% | 40.0% | 52.8% | 54.4% | 55.9% | 62.3% | 64.2% | 66.1% | |||
| 4 | 42.4% | 44.3% | 46.2% | 59.8% | 62.0% | 64.1% | 67.4% | 70.1% | 72.7% | |||
| 5+ | 48.2% | 50.6% | 53.0% | 63.9% | 66.6% | 69.2% | 69.5% | 72.8% | 76.0% | |||
| Most Serious Career Offense Type | Homicide | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 24.1% | 25.7% | 29.0% | 31.2% | 33.4% | ||
| Sex / Lewdness | 14.9% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 22.8% | 24.0% | 26.6% | 28.2% | 29.8% | |||
| Robbery | 30.4% | 31.1% | 31.9% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 45.1% | 51.8% | 52.9% | 54.1% | |||
| Other Violent | 27.1% | 27.8% | 28.5% | 39.8% | 40.7% | 41.5% | 48.3% | 49.4% | 50.4% | |||
| Burglary | 32.7% | 33.4% | 34.2% | 45.6% | 46.5% | 47.4% | 53.7% | 54.9% | 56.0% | |||
| Property Offenses - Total | NONE | 22.6% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 33.8% | 34.4% | 35.0% | 41.7% | 42.4% | 43.1% | ||
| 1 | 30.0% | 30.8% | 31.6% | 43.0% | 44.0% | 45.0% | 51.5% | 52.8% | 54.0% | |||
| 2 | 31.4% | 32.4% | 33.4% | 44.7% | 45.9% | 47.2% | 52.7% | 54.2% | 55.7% | |||
| 3+ | 35.2% | 36.0% | 36.7% | 48.1% | 49.0% | 49.8% | 55.8% | 56.9% | 58.0% | |||
| Drug Offenses - Total | NONE | 23.6% | 24.0% | 24.5% | 34.0% | 34.6% | 35.1% | 41.3% | 42.0% | 42.7% | ||
| 1 | 29.4% | 30.3% | 31.2% | 41.9% | 43.0% | 44.1% | 49.7% | 51.1% | 52.5% | |||
| 2 | 29.6% | 30.7% | 31.7% | 43.2% | 44.5% | 45.8% | 52.3% | 53.8% | 55.4% | |||
| 3+ | 34.4% | 35.1% | 35.9% | 49.5% | 50.4% | 51.3% | 58.6% | 59.7% | 60.8% | |||
| Weapons Offenses - Total | NONE | 27.7% | 28.1% | 28.5% | 39.7% | 40.2% | 40.6% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 48.9% | ||
| 1 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 29.6% | 40.3% | 41.7% | 43.0% | 48.2% | 49.8% | 51.5% | |||
| 2+ | 28.7% | 30.3% | 32.0% | 42.5% | 44.5% | 46.5% | 50.7% | 53.4% | 56.0% | |||