
(Not Adjusted by Other Factor Effects)
| FACTOR | TIME SINCE RELEASE | |||||||||||
| 18 MONTHS | 36 MONTHS | 60 MONTHS | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | Low Bound | Rate Estimate | High Bound | ||||
| Age at Release | UNDER 18 | 19.7% | 24.7% | 29.6% | 38.2% | 44.5% | 50.9% | 51.7% | 60.4% | 69.1% | ||
| 18 TO 24 | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 27.6% | 28.4% | 29.2% | 40.9% | 41.9% | 43.0% | |||
| 25 TO 34 | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 27.2% | 27.8% | 28.5% | 38.8% | 39.7% | 40.6% | |||
| 35 TO 49 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 24.7% | 25.4% | 26.0% | 34.3% | 35.2% | 36.1% | |||
| 50 TO 59 | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | |||
| 60+ | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | |||
| Race | Black | 14.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 31.3% | 31.9% | 32.4% | 44.3% | 45.1% | 45.8% | ||
| Non-Black | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 27.3% | 28.1% | 28.9% | |||
| Ethnicity | Hispanic | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 29.4% | 31.7% | 34.0% | ||
| Non-Hispanic | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 26.6% | 27.0% | 27.4% | 37.9% | 38.4% | 39.0% | |||
| Supervision After Release | Yes | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 26.7% | 27.3% | 28.0% | 36.9% | 37.8% | 38.6% | ||
| No | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 25.7% | 26.2% | 26.7% | 37.5% | 38.2% | 38.8% | |||
| Months in Prison | 1-12 | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 23.9% | 24.6% | 34.1% | 35.1% | 36.1% | ||
| 13-24 | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 26.3% | 27.0% | 27.7% | 38.4% | 39.3% | 40.3% | |||
| 25-36 | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 28.5% | 29.5% | 30.4% | 39.3% | 40.7% | 42.0% | |||
| 37-48 | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 28.0% | 29.3% | 30.6% | 38.3% | 40.1% | 42.0% | |||
| 49-60 | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 28.0% | 29.8% | 31.5% | 37.5% | 40.0% | 42.6% | |||
| 61+ | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 22.6% | 23.8% | 25.0% | 31.8% | 33.6% | 35.4% | |||
| Disciplinary Reports -Total | NONE | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 31.0% | 31.7% | 32.5% | ||
| 1 | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 24.6% | 25.5% | 26.4% | 37.6% | 38.9% | 40.3% | |||
| 2 | 13.2% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 28.3% | 29.6% | 31.0% | 39.8% | 41.7% | 43.6% | |||
| 3-6 | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 30.7% | 31.8% | 32.9% | 42.6% | 44.1% | 45.6% | |||
| 7+ | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 35.9% | 37.1% | 38.3% | 49.7% | 51.3% | 53.0% | |||
| Release Custody | Low | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 23.0% | 23.5% | 24.0% | 33.6% | 34.3% | 35.1% | ||
| High | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 33.7% | 34.7% | 35.8% | 47.0% | 48.5% | 49.9% | |||
| TABE Grade Level - Last Before Release | 1-3.9 | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 31.3% | 32.3% | 33.3% | 44.2% | 45.5% | 46.8% | ||
| 4-8.9 | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 27.4% | 28.0% | 28.5% | 39.2% | 39.9% | 40.6% | |||
| 9-11.9 | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 23.7% | 31.4% | 32.7% | 34.1% | |||
| 12-12.9 | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 25.3% | 26.6% | 27.9% | |||
| Prior Recidivism Events | NONE | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 27.7% | 28.4% | 29.1% | ||
| 1 | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 26.4% | 27.2% | 28.1% | 38.7% | 39.8% | 41.0% | |||
| 2 | 15.9% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 34.0% | 35.1% | 36.3% | 48.1% | 49.7% | 51.3% | |||
| 3 | 20.6% | 21.8% | 22.9% | 40.9% | 42.4% | 44.0% | 54.8% | 56.8% | 58.8% | |||
| 4 | 24.9% | 26.7% | 28.4% | 47.3% | 49.5% | 51.8% | 61.0% | 63.8% | 66.7% | |||
| 5+ | 31.0% | 33.3% | 35.6% | 53.1% | 55.9% | 58.8% | 64.8% | 68.5% | 72.1% | |||
| Most Serious Career Offense Type | Homicide | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 24.1% | 26.2% | ||
| Sex / Lewdness | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 21.9% | 23.6% | 25.2% | |||
| Robbery | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 31.6% | 32.5% | 33.4% | 44.1% | 45.3% | 46.5% | |||
| Other Violent | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 26.5% | 36.6% | 37.7% | 38.8% | |||
| Burglary | 15.0% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 31.0% | 31.9% | 32.8% | 42.8% | 44.0% | 45.2% | |||
| Property Offenses - Total | NONE | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 30.6% | 31.4% | 32.1% | ||
| 1 | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 28.5% | 29.5% | 30.5% | 41.5% | 42.8% | 44.1% | |||
| 2 | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 30.0% | 31.2% | 32.4% | 42.6% | 44.2% | 45.8% | |||
| 3+ | 16.5% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 33.4% | 34.3% | 35.2% | 45.4% | 46.6% | 47.7% | |||
| Drug Offenses - Total | NONE | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 22.0% | 22.5% | 23.0% | 31.8% | 32.6% | 33.3% | ||
| 1 | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 27.6% | 28.7% | 29.7% | 39.4% | 40.9% | 42.4% | |||
| 2 | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 28.0% | 29.2% | 30.4% | 39.3% | 40.9% | 42.6% | |||
| 3+ | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 32.7% | 33.6% | 34.4% | 46.1% | 47.3% | 48.4% | |||
| Weapons Offenses - Total | NONE | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 26.9% | 37.0% | 37.5% | 38.1% | ||
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 26.1% | 27.3% | 28.6% | 38.7% | 40.5% | 42.3% | |||
| 2+ | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 27.4% | 29.3% | 31.3% | 40.5% | 43.2% | 46.0% | |||